Futures Wheel - The official one-tool for future scenario analysis.
AI-powered Futures Wheel for foresight.
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Apply the Futures Wheel to my topic
Analyze the future of a trend
Explore the consequences of an event
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Introduction to Futures Wheel - The Official One
Futures Wheel - The Official One is a specialized version of the Futures Wheel methodology, designed to facilitate structured thinking about the future by identifying and analyzing the potential consequences of trends, events, or decisions. Originally created by Jerome C. Glenn in 1971, the Futures Wheel is a well-established tool used by futurists, planners, and strategists to explore the ripple effects of possible future scenarios. The primary purpose of this tool is to organize complex thoughts about the future into a visual format, making it easier to understand the interconnectedness of various factors. For example, in a scenario where autonomous vehicles become mainstream by 2035, the Futures Wheel might explore the primary, secondary, and tertiary consequences, such as changes in urban planning, the impact on public transportation, and the evolution of traffic laws.
Main Functions of Futures Wheel - The Official One
Identifying Primary, Secondary, and Tertiary Consequences
ExampleWhen analyzing the impact of a global pandemic, the tool helps to visualize the immediate health consequences, followed by secondary economic impacts, and tertiary effects on social behavior.
ScenarioA government uses the Futures Wheel to anticipate the cascading effects of a new environmental policy, ensuring all potential outcomes are considered.
Facilitating Group Brainstorming Sessions
ExampleIn a corporate strategy meeting, teams use the Futures Wheel to collaboratively map out the impacts of entering a new market, considering factors like competition, customer behavior, and regulatory changes.
ScenarioA company is considering expanding into a new international market. The Futures Wheel is used to brainstorm the potential risks and opportunities, leading to a well-rounded decision-making process.
Supporting Strategic Planning and Policy Development
ExampleGovernments can use the Futures Wheel to predict the long-term effects of legislation, such as the introduction of new tax policies, by visualizing both direct and indirect impacts.
ScenarioA city council uses the Futures Wheel to plan for the introduction of smart city technologies, mapping out the impacts on infrastructure, citizen privacy, and urban development.
Ideal Users of Futures Wheel - The Official One
Futurists and Strategic Planners
Futurists and strategic planners benefit from using the Futures Wheel as it provides a structured method for exploring potential future outcomes, helping them to create more robust and resilient strategies.
Educators and Students
The tool is also valuable in educational settings, where it can be used to teach students about the complexities of future scenarios and to encourage critical thinking about the long-term effects of current trends and decisions.
How to Use Futures Wheel - The Official One
Visit aichatonline.org for a free trial without login, also no need for ChatGPT Plus.
Access the tool without any barriers to explore its features and start building Futures Wheels.
Understand the Basics of Futures Wheels
Familiarize yourself with the Futures Wheel methodology, which helps in brainstorming and visualizing the primary, secondary, and tertiary consequences of events or trends【11†source】.
Choose Your Event or Trend
Select a central event or trend that you want to analyze, and place it in the center of your wheel【11†source】.
Identify Consequences Using PESTEL
Generate the first layer of consequences around your central event, considering Political, Economic, Sociocultural, Technological, Environmental, and Legal factors【9†source】.
Expand the Wheel
Continue adding layers to the wheel by identifying secondary and tertiary consequences, refining the analysis as you go【11†source】.
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Q&A About Futures Wheel - The Official One
What is the primary purpose of a Futures Wheel?
The primary purpose of a Futures Wheel is to help users brainstorm and visualize the potential consequences of a specific event or trend. It organizes thoughts into a structured format, enabling better foresight and planning【11†source】.
Can Futures Wheel be used for personal as well as professional forecasting?
Yes, the Futures Wheel is versatile and can be used for both personal and professional forecasting. It is applicable in scenarios ranging from personal decision-making to corporate strategic planning【11†source】.
How does Futures Wheel incorporate PESTEL analysis?
Futures Wheel integrates PESTEL analysis by encouraging users to consider Political, Economic, Sociocultural, Technological, Environmental, and Legal factors when identifying the consequences of an event or trend【9†source】.
Is the Futures Wheel method suitable for beginners?
Yes, the Futures Wheel method is simple and intuitive, making it suitable for beginners. It requires no advanced training and is an excellent tool for introducing futures thinking【11†source】.
What are some common applications of Futures Wheel?
Common applications of the Futures Wheel include strategic planning, policy analysis, educational workshops, and exploring potential impacts of emerging technologies or societal changes【11†source】.