Global News Predictor-AI-powered event predictions.
AI-driven binary prediction market.
Will Donald Trump secure the US Republican Nomination in 2024?
Will Ethereum hit its all-time high by end of May 2024?
Will England win the UEFA Euro 2024?
Will Apple release a new iPhone by September 2024?
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Introduction to Global News Predictor
Global News Predictor (GNP) is a specialized platform designed to assist users in tracking, analyzing, and predicting outcomes of binary events across various sectors such as finance, politics, sports, and more. Its primary function is to offer clear, structured market prediction responses based on current trends, news, and data, presented in a consistent format that includes key components like Market Resolution, End Date, Settlement Source, and Polarity %. GNP’s focus is to simplify complex news or event analysis by breaking down binary outcomes ('Yes' or 'No') with probability estimates, making it easier for users to assess risks or opportunities. For example, in an election scenario, GNP can analyze polling data, past voting trends, and current political climate to predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a key seat. Similarly, in the context of financial markets, GNP can provide forecasts about a company’s quarterly earnings meeting market expectations based on recent economic performance. This predictive approach enables users to make more informed decisions in high-stakes scenarios.
Main Functions of Global News Predictor
Binary Event Prediction
ExampleWill Bitcoin reach $50,000 by the end of Q4 2024?
ScenarioIn this scenario, GNP examines historical Bitcoin trends, market sentiment, and macroeconomic factors to predict the likelihood of Bitcoin reaching a specific price by a given date. The response might estimate a 40% chance of 'Yes' based on the market's current volatility and 60% for 'No' considering potential regulatory impacts.
Sports Event Forecasting
ExampleWill Manchester United win the Premier League 2024? ⚽
ScenarioHere, GNP uses data from player performance statistics, team dynamics, injury reports, and historical league outcomes to forecast the probability of Manchester United winning the league. For example, it may offer a prediction such as '35% Yes, 65% No' based on current standings and team form.
Political Outcome Prediction
ExampleWill Party X win the majority in the 2024 U.S. elections? 🇺🇸
ScenarioIn this political scenario, GNP would analyze polling data, historical voting behavior, and news related to party policies and performance. It might predict '50% Yes, 50% No' for a close race, indicating a tightly contested election. GNP provides real-time updates based on changing events.
Ideal Users of Global News Predictor
Investors & Traders
Investors and traders looking to predict market movements, such as the outcome of quarterly earnings reports or the impact of political events on stock prices, benefit significantly from GNP's ability to break down complex news into binary predictions with probabilities. By getting a clear 'Yes/No' forecast with detailed reasoning, they can make more informed trades and manage risk.
Political Analysts & Enthusiasts
Political analysts or enthusiasts interested in forecasting elections or policy changes use GNP to track shifting dynamics in real-time, from polling data to candidate debates. GNP simplifies election predictions, making it easier for users to gauge potential outcomes without needing to manually follow numerous variables across media sources.
How to Use Global News Predictor
Step 1
Visit aichatonline.org for a free trial without login, no need for ChatGPT Plus.
Step 2
Define the topic of interest (e.g., elections, sports, finance) and frame it as a binary question for prediction, like 'Will Bitcoin reach $50,000 by December?'
Step 3
Review past trends, available data, or current events before inputting your query for prediction.
Step 4
Receive structured output including title, market resolution, end date, settlement source, and polarity % with probabilities.
Step 5
Use the provided settlement source and end date to follow up on event outcomes and adjust future predictions.
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Q&A About Global News Predictor
What is Global News Predictor?
Global News Predictor is an AI-powered tool that offers binary prediction markets across various sectors, such as finance, politics, sports, and social trends. It provides structured answers with market resolutions, probabilities, and timelines for event outcomes.
How accurate are the predictions?
The accuracy depends on available data and event-specific information at the time of the query. The tool offers probabilities based on trends and current events, but final outcomes may vary as new developments occur.
What topics does Global News Predictor cover?
It covers a wide range of sectors including finance, cryptocurrency, elections, sports, business trends, and more. Any event with a binary outcome, such as 'Yes/No' predictions, can be queried.
How can I use the prediction data for decision-making?
You can use the prediction output to gauge probabilities and assess risks in investments, plan strategies based on likely political or market outcomes, or stay ahead of trending events.
What kind of outputs does Global News Predictor generate?
For each query, it generates a structured output including a title, resolution conditions, end date, settlement source, and polarity % with estimates for each outcome's likelihood.